{"id":14872,"date":"2018-04-02T11:01:39","date_gmt":"2018-04-02T10:01:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/?p=14872"},"modified":"2025-12-13T22:55:03","modified_gmt":"2025-12-13T21:55:03","slug":"egypte-la-reelection-malgre-le-desastre","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/de\/politik\/welt\/egypte-la-reelection-malgre-le-desastre\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c4gypten, die Wiederwahl trotz der Katastrophe"},"content":{"rendered":"

Les lundis de l'actualit\u00e9 - Cl\u00e9ment Guntern<\/em><\/p>\n

Comme pr\u00e9vu par tous les sp\u00e9cialistes, le premier tour de la pr\u00e9sidentielle \u00e9gyptienne n\u2019a pas \u00e9t\u00e9 un probl\u00e8me pour le pr\u00e9sident Abdel Fattah al-Sissi. Son seul opposant ayant fait p\u00e2le figure. Un autre score n\u2019\u00e9tait d\u2019ailleurs pas attendu puisque l\u2019adversaire du pr\u00e9sident n\u2019\u00e9tait autre qu\u2019un de ses proches, Moussa Mostafa Moussa. Tous les potentiels rivaux de la reconduite du pr\u00e9sident-g\u00e9n\u00e9ral de l\u2019Egypte ont pr\u00e9alablement fini en prison ou se sont, par magie, retir\u00e9s d\u2019eux-m\u00eames. Pour couronner le tout, les m\u00e9dias sont tout entier dans la poche du g\u00e9n\u00e9ral et il n\u2019a pas h\u00e9sit\u00e9 \u00e0 faire expulser l\u2019une des derni\u00e8res correspondantes permanentes de journaux occidentaux en Egypte. On le voit, le scrutin ne pouvait se tenir dans une atmosph\u00e8re d\u00e9mocratique et cette \u00e9lection constituera un bien mauvais indicateur de la popularit\u00e9 de Sissi.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Le pr\u00e9sident Sissi, apr\u00e8s avoir \u00e9vinc\u00e9 les concurrents et boucl\u00e9 les journaux, ne redoutait qu\u2019une chose : l\u2019abstention. De plus, il existe de nombreux m\u00e9contents au sein de l\u2019arm\u00e9e qui est \u00e0 la t\u00eate de l\u2019Etat. Le deuxi\u00e8me d\u00e9fi de Sissi consiste donc dans l\u2019appareil s\u00e9curitaire qui l\u2019entoure. Et le m\u00e9nage a d\u00e9j\u00e0 commenc\u00e9 dans les rangs de l\u2019arm\u00e9e pour placer des membres de sa famille autour de lui. Afin justifier cette politique autoritaire, le dirigeant parle sans cesse des ennemis de l\u2019ext\u00e9rieur qui complotent pour la chute de l\u2019Egypte, mettant ainsi en place une v\u00e9ritable x\u00e9nophobie d\u2019Etat.<\/p>\n

Le peuple \u00e9gyptien, dans sa grande majorit\u00e9, est soit indiff\u00e9rent soit d\u00e9sabus\u00e9 par le pouvoir en place. En effet, depuis la r\u00e9volution de 2011 dans la suite des \u00ab printemps arabes \u00bb, l\u2019\u00e9conomie \u00e9gyptienne est en crise. Le pays a d\u00fb demander au Fond Mon\u00e9taire International (FMI) un pr\u00eat exceptionnel de douze milliards de dollars en \u00e9change de mesures internes. R\u00e9sultat, une inflation de 30%, des prix \u00e0 la hausse et un grand nombre d\u2019Egyptiens dans la pauvret\u00e9. Certes, de grands travaux, notamment au Caire, sont entrepris, mais les effets ne se voient gu\u00e8re et la population ne reconna\u00eet pas de bilan positif au mandat du pr\u00e9sident Sissi.<\/p>\n

L\u2019\u00e9conomie toute enti\u00e8re du pays se trouve dans une grande fragilit\u00e9. D\u00e9pendante de l\u2019aide des pays du Golfe et des Etats-Unis, l\u2019Egypte g\u00eet dans une impasse. L\u2019\u00e9conomie \u00e9gyptienne reste une \u00e9conomie de rente et le pouvoir se contente de r\u00e9colter les b\u00e9n\u00e9fices sans se d\u00e9velopper. Le tourisme a brutalement chut\u00e9 et l\u2019aide \u00e9trang\u00e8re est capt\u00e9e dans sa grande majorit\u00e9 par l\u2019\u00e9lite militaire. Le copinage entre le pouvoir et certaines entreprises ont conduit \u00e0 chasser les entreprises r\u00e9ellement performantes car ne pouvant plus travailler sans le soutien du r\u00e9gime. Face \u00e0 ce constat et b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiant de moins en moins d\u2019aides de l\u2019Etat, le risque de rupture sociale est grand dans la population.<\/p>\n

Sur la sc\u00e8ne internationale en revanche, l\u2019Egypte a repris sa place d\u2019avant la r\u00e9volution de 2011. Elle est toujours soutenue militairement par les Etats-Unis \u00e0 hauteur d\u2019un milliard de dollars par an. Les Europ\u00e9ens, \u00e0 l\u2019image de la France, vendent des armes au r\u00e9gime, ne se souciant pas du double langage \u00e9gyptien de x\u00e9nophobie \u00e0 l\u2019interne et de solidit\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019externe. Quant \u00e0 elle, la coop\u00e9ration avec Isra\u00ebl a \u00e9galement repris, l\u2019arm\u00e9e isra\u00e9lienne bombardant des djihadistes dans le Sina\u00ef.<\/p>\n

La lutte contre le terrorisme que le pr\u00e9sident Sissi avait mis au rang de premi\u00e8re priorit\u00e9 n\u2019est de loin pas une r\u00e9ussite. Les quelques 60’000 soldats \u00e9gyptiens dans le Sina\u00ef sont incapables d\u2019arr\u00eater les activit\u00e9s de la branche locale de l\u2019organisation Etat islamique et les attentats se sont poursuivis dans les villes notamment contre la minorit\u00e9 chr\u00e9tienne.<\/p>\n

Ces \u00e9lections en Egypte \u00e9taient donc jou\u00e9es d\u2019avance. Malgr\u00e9 le m\u00e9contentement quasi g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9 et l\u2019absence de r\u00e9sultats \u00e9conomiques ou s\u00e9curitaires, la poursuite du r\u00e8gne du g\u00e9n\u00e9ral Al-Sissi ne semble pas conna\u00eetre une fin proche. A moins que la col\u00e8re des Egyptiens ne le chasse comme son pr\u00e9d\u00e9cesseur Moubarak.<\/p>\n

Schreiben Sie dem Autor: clement.guntern@leregardlibre.com<\/a><\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Les lundis de l’actualit\u00e9 \u2013 Cl\u00e9ment Guntern Comme pr\u00e9vu par tous les sp\u00e9cialistes, le premier tour de la pr\u00e9sidentielle \u00e9gyptienne n\u2019a…<\/p>","protected":false},"author":325,"featured_media":14873,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[644357281],"tags":[131453,61440,145254,54,1385980,7449324,3682690,117662,27683],"class_list":["post-14872","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-monde","tag-censure","tag-democratie","tag-egypte","tag-general","tag-le-caire","tag-mecontentement","tag-moubarak","tag-moyen-orient","tag-president"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nEgypte, la r\u00e9\u00e9lection malgr\u00e9 le d\u00e9sastre<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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