{"id":525965,"date":"2024-12-12T08:19:11","date_gmt":"2024-12-12T07:19:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/?p=525965"},"modified":"2025-12-13T22:50:08","modified_gmt":"2025-12-13T21:50:08","slug":"umfragen-oder-die-kunst-immer-falsch-zu-liegen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/de\/politique\/monde\/les-sondages-ou-lart-davoir-toujours-tort\/","title":{"rendered":"Umfragen oder die Kunst, immer falsch zu liegen"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class='content_excerpt'>\n<p class=\"has-drop-cap\"><strong>DER AMERIKANISCHE TRAUM NACH DER PR\u00c4SIDENTSCHAFTSWAHL (3\/4). Zunehmende Polarisierung, Niederlage der Umfragen und der Demokraten... Diese Artikelserie soll einige Lehren aus der erneuten Wahl von Donald Trump zum Pr\u00e4sidenten der USA aufzeigen.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n (mehr ...)\n    <div class='restricted_content_fade'><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <style>\n    .content_excerpt{\n      position: relative;\n    }\n    .content_excerpt .restricted_content_fade{\n      position: absolute;\n      bottom: 0;\n      left: 0;\n      right: 0;\n      height: 75px;\n\t  margin-bottom: 0px;\n      background-image: linear-gradient(#ffffff2e, white);\n    }\n\n    .restricted_content{\n      margin-top: 30px;\n      border: solid #dddddd 1px;\n      border-radius: 7px;\n      padding: 30px;\n    }\n    \n    .restricted_content .restricted_content_title{\n      font-size: 22px;\n      font-weight: 600;\n    }\n    .restricted_content .restricted_content_flex_row{\n      display: flex;\n      flex-direction: row;\n    }\n    .restricted_content .restricted_content_image_container{\n      flex: 3;\n    }\n    .restricted_content .restricted_content_flex_column{\n      flex: 4;\n      display: flex;\n      flex-direction: column;\n      margin-left: 40px;\n      justify-content: center;\n    }\n\n\n    .restricted_content_buttons{\n      display: flex;\n      flex-direction: column;\n      width: min-content;\n    }\n    .restricted_content_button{\n      background-color: #f2f2f2;\n      text-transform: uppercase;\n      font-weight: 600;\n      padding: 8px 40px;\n      text-align: center;\n      font-size: 13px;\n      margin-top: 10px;\n      width: max-content;\n      width: 100%;\n      white-space: nowrap;\n    }\n    .restricted_content_button:hover {\n      background-color: #111111;\n      color: white;\n      text-decoration: none !important;\n    }\n\n    .restricted_content_primary_button{\n      background-color: #1F2A68 !important;\n      color: white !important;\n    }\n    .restricted_content_primary_button:hover {\n      background-color: #111111;\n    }\n\n    .restricted_content_text{\n      margin-bottom: 10px;\n      line-height: 1.2;\n      font-weight: 500;\n      font-size: 16px;\n    }\n\n  \n  <\/style>\n  <div class='restricted_content'>\n    <h3 class='restricted_content_title'>Dieser Inhalt ist unseren Abonnenten vorbehalten.<\/h3>\n    <div class='restricted_content_flex_row'>\n      <div class='restricted_content_image_container'>\n        <img class='restricted_content_image' src='\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/abo_physique.png' \/>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class='restricted_content_flex_column'>\n        <div class='restricted_content_text'>Wenn Sie ein Konto haben, loggen Sie sich ein. Ansonsten entdecken Sie unsere verschiedenen Abonnements und erstellen Sie ein Konto ab CHF 2.50 im ersten Monat.<\/div>\n        <div class='restricted_content_buttons'>\n          <a href='\/de\/abonnement\/' class='restricted_content_button restricted_content_primary_button'>Abonnements ansehen<\/a><a href='\/de\/mein-konto\/?redirect_to=https:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/de\/politique\/monde\/les-sondages-ou-lart-davoir-toujours-tort\/'class='restricted_content_button'>Sich anmelden<\/a><\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class='content_excerpt'>\n<p class=\"has-drop-cap\"><strong>DER AMERIKANISCHE TRAUM NACH DER PR\u00c4SIDENTSCHAFTSWAHL (3\/4). Zunehmende Polarisierung, Niederlage der Umfragen und der Demokraten... Diese Artikelserie soll einige Lehren aus der erneuten Wahl von Donald Trump zum Pr\u00e4sidenten der USA aufzeigen.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p> (mehr ...)<\/p>\n<div class='restricted_content_fade'><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<style>\n    .content_excerpt{\n      position: relative;\n    }\n    .content_excerpt .restricted_content_fade{\n      position: absolute;\n      bottom: 0;\n      left: 0;\n      right: 0;\n      height: 75px;\n\t  margin-bottom: 0px;\n      background-image: linear-gradient(#ffffff2e, white);\n    }<\/p>\n<p>    .restricted_content{\n      margin-top: 30px;\n      border: solid #dddddd 1px;\n      border-radius: 7px;\n      padding: 30px;\n    }<\/p>\n<p>    .restricted_content .restricted_content_title{\n      font-size: 22px;\n      font-weight: 600;\n    }\n    .restricted_content .restricted_content_flex_row{\n      display: flex;\n      flex-direction: row;\n    }\n    .restricted_content .restricted_content_image_container{\n      flex: 3;\n    }\n    .restricted_content .restricted_content_flex_column{\n      flex: 4;\n      display: flex;\n      flex-direction: column;\n      margin-left: 40px;\n      justify-content: center;\n    }<\/p>\n<p>    .restricted_content_buttons{\n      display: flex;\n      flex-direction: column;\n      width: min-content;\n    }\n    .restricted_content_button{\n      background-color: #f2f2f2;\n      text-transform: uppercase;\n      font-weight: 600;\n      padding: 8px 40px;\n      text-align: center;\n      font-size: 13px;\n      margin-top: 10px;\n      width: max-content;\n      width: 100%;\n      white-space: nowrap;\n    }\n    .restricted_content_button:hover {\n      background-color: #111111;\n      color: white;\n      text-decoration: none !important;\n    }<\/p>\n<p>    .restricted_content_primary_button{\n      background-color: #1F2A68 !important;\n      color: white !important;\n    }\n    .restricted_content_primary_button:hover {\n      background-color: #111111;\n    }<\/p>\n<p>    .restricted_content_text{\n      margin-bottom: 10px;\n      line-height: 1.2;\n      font-weight: 500;\n      font-size: 16px;\n    }<\/p>\n<\/style>\n<div class='restricted_content'>\n<h3 class='restricted_content_title'>Dieser Inhalt ist unseren Abonnenten vorbehalten.<\/h3>\n<div class='restricted_content_flex_row'>\n<div class='restricted_content_image_container'>\n        <img class='restricted_content_image' src='\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/abo_physique.png' \/>\n      <\/div>\n<div class='restricted_content_flex_column'>\n<div class='restricted_content_text'>Wenn Sie bereits ein Konto haben, melden Sie sich bitte an. 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Parisien de naissance, de coeur et de sang, il est genevois d\u2019adoption et observe le monde depuis la cit\u00e9 de Calvin.\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/leregardlibre.com\\\/de\\\/author\\\/nabil-djarfi\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Umfragen oder die Kunst, immer falsch zu liegen","description":"Bis zum Zeitpunkt der Abstimmung deuteten alle Umfragen und Vorhersagemodelle auf einen engen Kampf zwischen Trump und Harris hin. 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