{"id":533665,"date":"2026-10-26T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-26T06:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/?p=533665"},"modified":"2026-10-26T07:38:20","modified_gmt":"2026-10-26T06:38:20","slug":"le-declin-demographique-une-recession-relationnelle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/de\/societe\/le-declin-demographique-une-recession-relationnelle\/","title":{"rendered":"Le d\u00e9clin d\u00e9mographique, une r\u00e9cession relationnelle"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Et si le d\u00e9clin d\u00e9mographique trouvait ses racines dans la solitude croissante et la fragilisation des relations humaines \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e8re des smartphones?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019ann\u00e9e 2025 marque un tournant: pour la premi\u00e8re fois, le nombre de d\u00e9c\u00e8s a \u00e9t\u00e9 sup\u00e9rieur au nombre de naissances en France. Tous les commentateurs ont alors encha\u00een\u00e9 les sp\u00e9culations concernant les causes: prix du logement, probl\u00e8mes de fertilit\u00e9, moindre d\u00e9sir d\u2019enfants, \u00e9l\u00e9vation du niveau de dipl\u00f4me des femmes ou encore d\u00e9mocratisation de la contraception. N\u00e9anmoins, toutes ces explications se concentrent sur des causes marginales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En r\u00e9alit\u00e9, le d\u00e9sir d\u2019enfants reste \u00e9lev\u00e9 malgr\u00e9 les difficult\u00e9s avanc\u00e9es. En 2024, les femmes fran\u00e7aises d\u00e9claraient souhaiter en moyenne 2,3 enfants, soit un niveau sup\u00e9rieur au seuil de renouvellement d\u00e9mographique, selon l\u2019Institut national d\u2019\u00e9tudes d\u00e9mographiques (Ined). L\u2019argument \u00e9conomique ne tient pas non plus lorsqu\u2019on compare les situations internationales. Des pays comme la Finlande, qui offre une garde d\u2019enfants universelle et des logements familiaux subventionn\u00e9s par l\u2019Etat, ou la Hongrie, qui propose des exon\u00e9rations d\u2019imp\u00f4t \u00e0 vie pour les femmes ayant au moins deux enfants, n\u2019affichent en aucun cas des taux de f\u00e9condit\u00e9 plus encourageants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Venons-en alors au c\u0153ur du probl\u00e8me d\u00e9mographique: le d\u00e9sert relationnel. Se focaliser sur les probl\u00e8mes en aval, c\u2019est refuser de voir le d\u00e9clin \u00e0 sa source. Plut\u00f4t que de regarder ce que les couples font, regardons si les couples se font. Or, les donn\u00e9es sont sans \u00e9quivoque: plus d\u2019un m\u00e9nage sur trois en France vit seul, contre un sur cinq dans les ann\u00e9es 1960, selon les chiffres de l\u2019Institut national de la statistique et des \u00e9tudes \u00e9conomiques (Insee). De m\u00eame, le <em>Pew Research Center<\/em> rapporte que 63% des hommes \u00e2g\u00e9s de 18 \u00e0 29 ans sont c\u00e9libataires en 2022 aux Etats-Unis, contre moins de 25% dans les ann\u00e9es 1970. La crise d\u00e9mographique est avant tout une crise relationnelle: il faut \u00eatre deux pour engendrer la vie et nous n\u2019avons jamais \u00e9t\u00e9 aussi seuls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<form method=\"post\" action=\"https:\/\/newsletter.infomaniak.com\/external\/submit\" class=\"inf-form\" target=\"_blank\"><input type=\"email\" name=\"email\" style=\"display:none\" \/><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"key\"\nvalue=\"eyJpdiI6IlZXRVJGMlRGQUU2alNqUE81bitIUk5adnNVa0c4MllFTStzOHdHT1FQZ3c9IiwidmFsdWUiOiJIYzhwMUVCK1pTNnlhY3MyMmhuZlhReWJqemEwNk93blMxTjFHc0s2VHZrPSIsIm1hYyI6ImVhYTQ5N2I1M2NiYWE4NzBm\nNjk2NzgzYjliM2Y5NmYzM2E2ZmU3NGQxNTU1ZDFkMTU1MzY5NTdjYjE3ZTJmNTUifQ==\"><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"webform_id\" value=\"7291\"><style> .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff{ background-color:#f5f5f5;\npadding:25px 20px; margin:25px auto; } .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-content { margin-top:13px;} .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff h4, .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff span, .inf-\nmain_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff label, .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff input, .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-submit, .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-success p a { color:#555555; font-\nsize:14px; } .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff h4{ font-size:18px; margin:0px 0px 13px 0px; } .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff h4, .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff label{ font-weight:bold; } .inf-\nmain_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-input { margin-bottom:7px; } .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff label { display:block;} .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff input{ height:35px; color:#999999; border: 1px solid\n#E9E9E9; border:none; padding-left:7px; } .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-input.inf-error label, .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-input.inf-error span.inf-message{ color: #cc0033; } .inf-\nmain_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-input.inf-error input{ border: 1px solid #cc0033; } .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-input input { width:100%;} .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-input.inf-error\nspan.inf-message { display: block; } .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-submit { text-align:right;} .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-submit input{ background-color:#777777; color:#ffffff; border:none; font-weight:\nnormal; height:auto; padding:7px; } .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-submit input.disabled{ opacity: 0.4; } .inf-btn { color: rgb(85, 85, 85); border: medium none; font-weight: normal; height: auto; padding: 7px; display: inline-block;\nbackground-color: white; box-shadow: 0px 1px 1px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.24); border-radius: 2px; line-height: 1em; } .inf-rgpd { margin:25px 0px 15px 0px; color:#555555; } <\/style> <div class=\"inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff\">\n<h4>NEWSLETTER DU REGARD LIBRE<\/h4> <span>Recevez nos articles chaque dimanche.<\/span> <div class=\"inf-success\" style=\"display:none\"> <h4>Votre inscription \u00e0 notre infolettre hebdomadaire a \u00e9t\u00e9 enregistr\u00e9e avec succ\u00e8s !<\/h4> <p>\n<a href=\"#\" class=\"inf-btn\">&laquo;<\/a> <\/p> <\/div> <div class=\"inf-content\"> <div class=\"inf-input inf-input-text\"> <input type=\"text\" name=\"inf[1]\" data-inf-meta = \"1\" data-inf-error = \"Merci de renseigner une adresse email\" required=\"required\"\nplaceholder=\"Email\" > <\/div> <div class=\"inf-submit\"> <input type=\"submit\" name=\"\" value=\"S\u2019inscrire\"> <\/div> <\/div> <\/div> <\/form>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Si les causes de ce d\u00e9sert affectif sont multiples et \u00e9tay\u00e9es dans mon essai <em>La R\u00e9volution affective<\/em> (\u00c9ditions Albin Michel, 2026), une innovation technologique r\u00e9cente semble jouer un r\u00f4le pr\u00e9pond\u00e9rant: le smartphone. Effondrement des interactions en face \u00e0 face, recul de la sociabilit\u00e9 au profit d\u2019un num\u00e9rique r\u00e9cr\u00e9atif, moindre investissement affectif dans les couples\u2026 Deux \u00e9tudes r\u00e9centes de l\u2019universit\u00e9 de Cincinnati, publi\u00e9es en avril et juin 2026, pointent pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment les lourdes cons\u00e9quences des smartphones sur nos relations et avancent m\u00eame l\u2019existence d\u2019un lien de causalit\u00e9 entre leur g\u00e9n\u00e9ralisation et le d\u00e9clin de la f\u00e9condit\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Derri\u00e8re le smartphone se cache un monde du solitaire. Plus nous sommes connect\u00e9s, moins nous sommes pr\u00e9sents. Or, c\u2019est dans la pr\u00e9sence que grandit la relation. La tentation permanente que fait peser notre smartphone sur notre attention nous emp\u00eache tout bonnement d\u2019\u00eatre attentifs \u00e0 notre prochain. L\u2019alt\u00e9rit\u00e9 devient un frein \u00e0 notre consommation quotidienne de dopamine num\u00e9rique, tandis que les plateformes permettent d\u2019entretenir un vaste r\u00e9seau, donnant, quelques instants, l\u2019impression d\u2019un entourage pourtant toujours insatisfaisant. La confusion entre la relation et la connexion m\u00e8ne \u00e0 une sociabilit\u00e9 d\u00e9grad\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Du monde de l\u2019hyperconnexion et du village plan\u00e9taire, nous sombrons vers celui de la d\u00e9liaison et du d\u00e9sert global. Il n\u2019y aura pas de r\u00e9tablissement d\u00e9mographique sans restauration de l\u2019\u00e9cosyst\u00e8me relationnel. Cessons de plaquer sur cette situation nos alibis politiques et regardons le r\u00e9el tel qu\u2019il est, \u00e0 la mani\u00e8re de Jean Jaur\u00e8s, pour qui \u00able courage, c\u2019est de chercher la v\u00e9rit\u00e9 et de la dire\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Ecrivain et philosophe de formation, <\/em><strong><em>Baptiste&nbsp;Detombe<\/em><\/strong><em> est le fondateur du m\u00e9dia r\u00e9publicain <\/em>Gavroche<em>. Chaque mois, il pose un regard critique sur les transformations technologiques et anthropologiques de l\u2019\u00e9poque.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h6 id=\"h-vous-venez-de-lire-un-contenu-en-libre-acces-publie-dans-notre-edition-papier-le-regard-libre-nbsp-n-130-debats-analyses-actualites-culturelles-nbsp-abonnez-vous-nbsp-a-notre-media-de-reflexion-pour-nous-soutenir-et-avoir-acces-a-tous-nos-contenus\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Vous venez de lire un contenu en libre acc\u00e8s, publi\u00e9 dans notre \u00e9dition papier (<a href=\"https:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/cpt-editions\/le-regard-libre-130-fete\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/cpt-editions\/le-regard-libre-130-fete\/\"><em>Le Regard Libre&nbsp;<\/em>N\u00b0130<\/a>). D\u00e9bats, analyses, actualit\u00e9s culturelles:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/abonnement\/\">abonnez-vous<\/a>&nbsp;\u00e0 notre m\u00e9dia de r\u00e9flexion pour nous soutenir et avoir acc\u00e8s \u00e0 tous nos contenus!<\/h6>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Et si le d\u00e9clin d\u00e9mographique trouvait ses racines dans la solitude croissante et la fragilisation des relations humaines \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e8re des smartphones ?<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1932,"featured_media":533366,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8796],"tags":[644355830,644355029,644358547,147605],"class_list":["post-533665","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-societe","tag-chroniques","tag-demographie","tag-le-contrechamps-de-baptiste-detombe","tag-sociologie"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This 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