{"id":14777,"date":"2018-03-26T06:30:12","date_gmt":"2018-03-26T05:30:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/?p=14777"},"modified":"2025-12-13T22:55:04","modified_gmt":"2025-12-13T21:55:04","slug":"skripal-investigation-and-diplomatic-stakes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/en\/politique\/monde\/affaire-skripal-lenquete-et-les-enjeux-diplomatiques\/","title":{"rendered":"Skripal affair: the investigation and the diplomatic stakes"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Les lundis de l\u2019actualit\u00e9 \u2013 H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Lavoyer<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sergei Skripal et sa fille Yulia \u2013 respectivement 66 et 33 ans \u2013 ont \u00e9t\u00e9 empoisonn\u00e9s le 4 mars dernier \u00e0 Salisbury, en Angleterre. La Premi\u00e8re ministre du pays, Theresa May, pointe du doigt la Russie. Alors que les gouvernements am\u00e9ricain et fran\u00e7ais soutiennent cette hypoth\u00e8se, de nombreux points restent obscurs.<\/b><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Durant les ann\u00e9es 1990, Serge\u00ef Skripal op\u00e8re comme agent double pour le Royaume-Uni alors m\u00eame qu\u2019il est encore colonel de la direction g\u00e9n\u00e9rale des renseignements (GRU) russes. Durant cette p\u00e9riode, l\u2019homme est soup\u00e7onn\u00e9 d\u2019avoir d\u00e9livr\u00e9 des informations \u2013 notamment concernant les lieux et heures de rencontres d\u2019agents russes \u2013 \u00e0 l\u2019Angleterre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En d\u00e9cembre 2004, le Service f\u00e9d\u00e9ral de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 de la f\u00e9d\u00e9ration de Russie l\u2019arr\u00eate et le condamne \u00e0 treize ann\u00e9es de prison en 2006. En 2010, il se voit graci\u00e9 par Dimitri Medvedev \u2013 alors pr\u00e9sident de Russie \u2013 et s\u2019\u00e9tablit \u00e0 Salisbury, en Angleterre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Branlebas de combat<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Dimanche 4 mars: Serge\u00ef et sa fille sont retrouv\u00e9s inconscients sur un banc par des passants, et emmen\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u2019h\u00f4pital de Salisbury. Deux jours plus tard, Boris Johnson, l\u2019actuel secr\u00e9taire d\u2019Etat des Affaires \u00e9trang\u00e8res et du Commonwealth du Royaume-Uni, annonce qu\u2019il est trop t\u00f4t pour d\u00e9signer un coupable, mais ajoute que \u00abla Russie est une force “malfaisante et perturbatrice” dans le monde\u00bb et que \u00able Royaume-Uni va prendre les devants dans la lutte contre ses activit\u00e9s\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00e8s le 9 mars, des troupes de d\u00e9contamination et des professionnels de la lutte contre les produits chimiques s\u2019unissent \u00e0 la police afin de faire avancer l\u2019enqu\u00eate, et peu apr\u00e8s, les personnes ayant fr\u00e9quent\u00e9 les m\u00eames lieux que Serge\u00ef et Yulia \u2013 un bar et un restaurant \u2013 les 4 et 5 mars sont invit\u00e9s \u00e0 laver leurs habits par mesure de pr\u00e9caution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Soutien ext\u00e9rieur<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Theresa May prononce un premier discours \u00e0 la Chambre des communes le 11 mars, et annonce que l\u2019agent neurotoxique utilis\u00e9 afin d\u2019empoisonner les deux victimes, le Notvichok<\/em>, a \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9velopp\u00e9 (peut-on trouver un meilleur verbe? Je ne comprends pas comment on peut d\u00e9velopper une personne en fait, Novitchok est le poison utilis\u00e9!) par l\u2019Union Sovi\u00e9tique durant la guerre froide. Elle ajoute que l\u2019attaque venait \u00abprobablement de Russie\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019affaire d\u2019Etat devient internationale, et les pr\u00e9sidents Macron et Trump ne tardent pas eux aussi \u00e0 accuser la Russie. \u00abTout porte \u00e0 croire que la responsabilit\u00e9 est en effet attribuable \u00e0 la Russie, et en cela le travail men\u00e9 par les services britanniques partag\u00e9 avec les services fran\u00e7ais le confirme. [\u2026] La France condamne donc avec la plus grande fermet\u00e9 cette attaque inacceptable sur le sol d’un pays alli\u00e9 et je veux dire ici toute ma solidarit\u00e9 \u00e0 l’\u00e9gard de Theresa May\u00bb, d\u00e9clare Emmanuel Macron lors de sa visite en Indre-et-Loire le 15 mars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u00e9li-m\u00e9lo d\u2019incoh\u00e9rences<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Malgr\u00e9 l\u2019apparente responsabilit\u00e9 russe, de nombreuses voix s\u2019\u00e9l\u00e8vent, notamment dans le milieu journalistique, allant \u00e0 l\u2019encontre de cette culpabilit\u00e9 d\u00e9j\u00e0 presque attest\u00e9e. Tout d\u2019abord, les \u00e9v\u00e9nements pr\u00e9c\u00e8dent de peu la r\u00e9\u00e9lection du pr\u00e9sident Poutine, qui a eu lieu le 18 mars. Un tel acte de la part du gouvernement russe aurait \u00e9t\u00e9 contre-productif et manifestement dangereux pour la r\u00e9putation de Vladimir Poutine. Mais d\u2019autres \u00e9l\u00e9ments s\u2019ajoutent \u00e0 cela.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Que la Russie veuille Serge\u00ef mort, \u00e0 titre de vengeance, est une chose. Mais pourquoi ne l\u2019aurait-on alors pas fait tuer lorsqu\u2019il \u00e9tait d\u00e9tenu en prison sur le sol russe? Pour certains, il s\u2019agirait d\u2019une mise en garde envers les autres espions qui seraient tent\u00e9s de collaborer avec des gouvernements \u00e9trangers, et celle-ci leur montrerait que leur vie et celle des membres de leur famille ne seraient jamais \u00e0 l\u2019abri. Cependant, rien ne le prouve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Selon certains analystes, il s\u2019agit de rester prudent, compte tenu du fait que ce tragique \u00e9v\u00e9nement pourrait repr\u00e9senter un moyen, pour l\u2019Angleterre, de ressouder ses liens avec l\u2019Europe, notamment l\u2019Allemagne et la France. La solidarit\u00e9 des pays membres de l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne peut vouloir dire deux choses: qu\u2019il est \u00e0 leur avantage d\u2019isoler la Russie, ou que les preuves qu\u2019ils poss\u00e8dent concernant sa culpabilit\u00e9 constituent une base assez solide pour qu\u2019elle soit consid\u00e9r\u00e9e comme telle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trop t\u00f4t pour une affirmation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Force est de constater que les propos de Vassili Nebenzia, ambassadeur russe \u00e0 l\u2019ONU \u2013 \u00e0 savoir que \u00abla pr\u00e9somption d\u2019innocence est en passe d\u2019\u00eatre substitu\u00e9e par la pr\u00e9somption de culpabilit\u00e9\u00bb \u2013 ne constituent pas un non-sens.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La rapidit\u00e9 des accusations reste \u00e9tonnante, tout autant que les mesures prises par le gouvernement anglais. En effet, vingt-trois diplomates russes se sont d\u00e9j\u00e0 vus expuls\u00e9s du pays, et l\u2019Angleterre a fait savoir que la famille royale ou celle du gouvernement ne se rendront pas en Russie \u00e0 l\u2019occasion de la Coupe du monde de football (juin-juillet 2018).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les hypoth\u00e8ses actuelles \u00e0 propos du coupable sont encore nombreuses; est-ce une op\u00e9ration volontaire du gouvernement de Poutine? Une faille dans leur syst\u00e8me, qui aurait laiss\u00e9 \u00e0 une tierce personne le soin d\u2019organiser cet empoisonnement? Ou peut-\u00eatre une br\u00e8che d\u2019un laboratoire anglais?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lorsque de tels enjeux diplomatiques se pr\u00e9sentent, il est n\u00e9cessaire que le public soit inform\u00e9 de toutes les possibilit\u00e9s. Que Vladimir Poutine, et le gouvernement russe en g\u00e9n\u00e9ral, aient orchestr\u00e9 des affaires peu estimables, point de doute. Mais n\u2019en est-il pas de m\u00eame pour n\u2019importe quel gouvernement?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ecrire \u00e0 l\u2019auteure: lavoyer.helene@gmail.com<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Les lundis de l\u2019actualit\u00e9 \u2013 H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Lavoyer Sergei Skripal et sa fille Yulia \u2013 respectivement 66 et 33 ans \u2013 ont…<\/p>","protected":false},"author":326,"featured_media":14778,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[644357281],"tags":[27901508,4328,378150,117676,38827758,58017,3219768],"class_list":["post-14777","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-monde","tag-diplomatie-europeenne","tag-europe","tag-geopolitique","tag-russie","tag-skripal","tag-strategie","tag-vladimir-poutine"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nAffaire Skripal: l'enqu\u00eate et les enjeux diplomatiques<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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