{"id":2061,"date":"2016-06-27T11:23:34","date_gmt":"2016-06-27T09:23:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/?p=2061"},"modified":"2025-12-13T22:59:03","modified_gmt":"2025-12-13T21:59:03","slug":"see-you-later","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/en\/politique\/monde\/see-eu-later\/","title":{"rendered":"See EU later!"},"content":{"rendered":"

A Look at Current Events \u2013 Nicolas Jutzet
\n<\/em><\/p>\n

June 24, 2016, will go down in history as the day the European project began to crumble. As the votes were tallied, a schism emerged: Scotland and Northern Ireland voted \u201cIN,\u201d while Wales and England chose the path of exile by casting a majority \u201cOUT\u201d vote. The people of the United Kingdom have spoken, and now risk splitting apart, each going their own way, alone. Some find this choice disastrous, irrational, or even dangerous; I would simply say that it is unprecedented and represents an exhilarating leap into the unknown.<\/p>\n

En votant le Brexit, le Royaume-Uni s\u2019est condamn\u00e9 \u00e0 la volatilit\u00e9, \u00e0 l\u2019incertitude. En face, l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne, cette amante cocufi\u00e9e, est rageuse. Elle crie \u00e0 la vengeance, voulant \u00e9viter d\u2019autres exodes, et promet d\u2019\u00eatre impitoyable durant les n\u00e9gociations. D\u00e9missionnaire, Cameron laisse une v\u00e9ritable usine \u00e0 gaz \u00e0 son successeur. Avec l\u2019appui du parlement, la ou le nouvel \u00e9lu va devoir invoquer l’article 50 du Trait\u00e9 de Lisbonne pour activer le processus de sortie de l’Union europ\u00e9enne, puis patienter, n\u00e9gocier et enfin finaliser cette longue marche vers une souverainet\u00e9 retrouv\u00e9e.<\/p>\n

R\u00e9ussir son divorce demande de l\u2019intelligence et du pragmatisme, soit malheureusement tout ce que ne poss\u00e8de pas l\u2019UE actuelle. D\u00e9\u00e7ue, elle montre les dents et risque de refuser ce qui est pourtant une \u00e9vidence sur le plan \u00e9conomique. Il faut mettre en place des accords de libre \u00e9change des biens, des capitaux, des personnes et des services, tout en laissant le Royaume-Uni \u00eatre ma\u00eetre de sa politique sociale (baisser les prestations sociales restera toujours plus efficace que des contr\u00f4les aux fronti\u00e8res). Cameron avait par ailleurs r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 n\u00e9gocier dans ce sens, et pr\u00e9sentait un projet d\u2019Europe \u00ab\u00a0light\u00a0\u00bb face au Brexit. Compromis jug\u00e9 insuffisant par le peuple. Difficile d\u2019accepter une semi-souverainet\u00e9.<\/p>\n

The United Kingdom is the world\u2019s fourth-largest destination for foreign direct investment (FDI), ranks fifth in terms of GDP, and has a substantial trade deficit (exports \u2013 imports = trade balance). It is, therefore, an economic giant. Its absence from the single market would be detrimental to everyone, but above all to the European Union! Indeed, the United Kingdom is a major consumer in the global market, and its withdrawal would in fact be a huge loss for all businesses in European countries.<\/p>\n

Paradoxically, the British are in a position of strength. Pragmatism would suggest that bilateral agreements\u2014similar in form to those concluded with Switzerland\u2014should be signed (on better terms than our Bilateral Agreements I and II). Unlike us, Britain will have the courage to exert its influence in the negotiations by looking down on this European Union in decline. So the EU will either negotiate or die from its own obstinacy. If we compare the EU to a school classroom, it has just lost a brilliant student and is watching the dunce sitting in the back near the radiator (France) gain more power. This is nothing to celebrate.<\/p>\n

Le choc sera rude sur le court terme, car toute p\u00e9riode d\u2019instabilit\u00e9 est une \u00e9preuve pour l\u2019\u00e9conomie (on le voit sur les march\u00e9s boursiers, compl\u00e8tement perdus) ; mais une fois l’obstacle surmont\u00e9, le Royaume-Uni (ou plut\u00f4t ce qui en restera), sortira grandi de l\u2019aventure, lib\u00e9r\u00e9 du fardeau europ\u00e9en qui a r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 transformer une belle id\u00e9e en cauchemar bureaucratique. Tout amoureux de l\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019une Europe pacifique doit se r\u00e9jouir de ce Brexit ; il doit mener \u00e0 des jours meilleurs. Mais avant, une longue travers\u00e9e du d\u00e9sert nous attend.<\/p>\n

Write to the author : nicolas.jutzet@leregardlibre.com<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

Photo credit: New Center<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Regard sur l’actualit\u00e9 – Nicolas Jutzet Le 24 juin 2016 restera dans l\u2019histoire comme le jour qui a vu l\u2019id\u00e9e…<\/p>","protected":false},"author":314,"featured_media":2078,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[644357281],"tags":[1215637,119286966,449179,501212,434562,157129],"class_list":["post-2061","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-monde","tag-accords-bilateraux","tag-brexit","tag-grande-bretagne","tag-libre-echange","tag-royaume-uni","tag-union-europeenne"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nSee EU later!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/en\/policy\/world\/see-you-later\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta 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