{"id":524094,"date":"2024-07-07T06:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-07-07T04:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/?p=524094"},"modified":"2025-12-13T22:50:20","modified_gmt":"2025-12-13T21:50:20","slug":"legislature-catalogne-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/en\/policy\/world\/legislature-catalogne-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"A misleading reading of the Catalan legislative elections"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-drop-cap\"><strong>The Catalan elections ended in a historic defeat for the pro-independence bloc. At first glance, the Socialist Prime Minister Pedro S\u00e1nchez, who theorized about reconciling Spaniards, seems to have emerged stronger. The reality is more complex.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p>On May 12, the champagne remained chilled in the Catalan nationalists' offices. For the first time since 1980, an absolute majority in the regional parliament eluded them. While the pro-independence right-wing Junts per Catalunya made timid progress (+3 deputies), Esquerra Republicana (ERC), the pro-independence left-wing party, collapsed (-13 deputies). The big winner was the Catalan Socialist Party (PSC), led by Salvador Illa, which became the largest force in Parliament with 42 representatives (+9 deputies). The social-democrat candidate is now the best placed to become president of the region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In a Spain where regional and national politics function as communicating vessels, the mid-May results strengthened Pedro S\u00e1nchez, at least on the surface. To understand why, we need to go back a few months. After the national elections in July 2023, the Socialist once again became Prime Minister thanks to a \u00abpatchwork\u00bb parliamentary majority, supported by a whole host of formations, including the Catalan nationalist parties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<form method=\"post\" action=\"https:\/\/newsletter.infomaniak.com\/external\/submit\" class=\"inf-form\" target=\"_blank\"><input type=\"email\" name=\"email\" style=\"display:none\" \/><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"key\" value=\"eyJpdiI6IlZXRVJGMlRGQUU2alNqUE81bitIUk5adnNVa0c4MllFTStzOHdHT1FQZ3c9IiwidmFsdWUiOiJIYzhwMUVCK1pTNnlhY3MyMmhuZlhReWJqemEwNk93blMxTjFHc0s2VHZrPSIsIm1hYyI6ImVhYTQ5N2I1M2NiYWE4NzBmNjk2NzgzYjliM2Y5NmYzM2E2ZmU3NGQxNTU1ZDFkMTU1MzY5NTdjYjE3ZTJmNTUifQ==\"><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"webform_id\" value=\"7291\"><style> .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff{ background-color:#f5f5f5; padding:25px 20px; margin:25px auto; } .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-content { margin-top:13px;} .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff h4, .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff span, .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff label, .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff input, .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-submit, .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-success p a { color:#555555; font-size:14px; } .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff h4{ font-size:18px; margin:0px 0px 13px 0px; } .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff h4, .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff label{ font-weight:bold; } .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-input { margin-bottom:7px; } .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff label { display:block;} .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff input{ height:35px; color:#999999; border: 1px solid #E9E9E9; border:none; padding-left:7px; } .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-input.inf-error label, .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-input.inf-error span.inf-message{ color: #cc0033; } .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-input.inf-error input{ border: 1px solid #cc0033; } .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-input input { width:100%;} .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-input.inf-error span.inf-message { display: block; } .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-submit { text-align:right;} .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-submit input{ background-color:#777777; color:#ffffff; border:none; font-weight: normal; height:auto; padding:7px; } .inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff .inf-submit input.disabled{ opacity: 0.4; } .inf-btn { color: rgb(85, 85, 85); border: medium none; font-weight: normal; height: auto; padding: 7px; display: inline-block; background-color: white; box-shadow: 0px 1px 1px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.24); border-radius: 2px; line-height: 1em; } .inf-rgpd { margin:25px 0px 15px 0px; color:#555555; } <\/style> <div class=\"inf-main_3000311ca56a1cb93397bc676c0b7fff\"> <h4>NEWSLETTER DU REGARD LIBRE<\/h4> <span>Receive our articles every Sunday.<\/span> <div class=\"inf-success\" style=\"display:none\"> <h4>Your subscription to our weekly newsletter has been successfully registered!<\/h4> <p> <a href=\"#\" class=\"inf-btn\">\u00ab<\/a> <\/p> <\/div> <div class=\"inf-content\"> <div class=\"inf-input inf-input-text\"> <input type=\"text\" name=\"inf[1]\" data-inf-meta = \"1\" data-inf-error = \"Merci de renseigner une adresse email\" required=\"required\" placeholder=\"Email\" > <\/div> <div class=\"inf-submit\"> <input type=\"submit\" name=\"\" value=\"Sign up\"> <\/div> <\/div> <\/div> <\/form>\n\n\n\n<p>In exchange for the support of its seven deputies, Junts per Catalunya has demanded an amnesty for its leader Carles Puigdemont, prosecuted by the Spanish justice system for organizing an illegal independence referendum in 2017. A request accepted by Pedro S\u00e1nchez, although he had opposed it during the campaign. To justify this never-before-considered law, widely criticized even on the left, the Prime Minister hastened to create a narrative that presents this pardon as a step towards \u00abreconciliation\u00bb between Spaniards, an act that would turn the page on independence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-une-reconciliation-a-relativiser\">Putting reconciliation into perspective<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>With the Socialist victory and the retreat of the Catalan nationalists, Pedro S\u00e1nchez believes he has proof of the validity of his invented narrative. <em>ex-nihilo<\/em>. However, its real influence on the PSC's good results must be put into perspective. Amnesty was not a central issue in the campaign. And even if it did have an influence, was it really positive for the PSC? The good scores of the Partido Popular (PP) and Vox, right-wing parties firmly opposed to Carles Puigdemont's whitewash, seem to indicate the opposite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The PP, which increased its number of deputies by 12, went far beyond its own electorate and that of Ciudadanos, a liberal formation it had completely absorbed, suggesting a transfer of votes from the PSC or a mobilization of abstentionists opposed to the amnesty. The right-wing identitarian party Vox has maintained the same number of deputies as in the previous legislature (11), even though it is losing ground throughout the country.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Anti-sanchism\u2019, the outspoken opposition to the Prime Minister exacerbated by the amnesty, served as a catalyst for the right-wing parties. The undeniable socialist advance can be attributed instead to Salvador Illa, perceived as a calm and responsible politician, as the candidate of appeasement after years of social tension generated by the illegal referendum of 2017.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-l-independantisme-encore-vivant\">Independence still alive and well<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The results of the regional elections have brought the independentists face to face with a harsh reality. The Catalonia of May 12 is the one they refused to see, that of a majority of voters who do not believe in separatism, that of a people who remain largely attached to Spain. Confrontation and victimization are no longer convincing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nevertheless, the page of independence has not yet been turned. This current has a foothold in Catalonia that is unlikely to disappear any time soon, and the weight of Catalan nationalists remains disproportionate in Spanish politics. Junts and ERC are the key to the fragile majority on which the government rests, and as long as they can, their leaders will continue to pressure S\u00e1nchez for all kinds of privileges. After the amnesty law passed on May 30, the next objective is clear: an independence referendum pacted with the government. Throughout history, Catalan nationalists have shown themselves to excel at navel-gazing and blackmail, even if it means sacrificing the rest of the Spanish people.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Write to the author:&nbsp;<a href=\"mailto:pablo.sanchez@leregardlibre.com\">pablo.sanchez@leregardlibre.com<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-vous-venez-de-lire-un-article-en-libre-acces-tire-de-notre-edition-papier-le-regard-libre-n-108-debats-analyses-actualites-culturelles-abonnez-vous-a-notre-media-de-reflexion-pour-nous-soutenir-et-avoir-acces-a-tous-nos-contenus\">You have just read an open-access article from our print edition (<a href=\"https:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/en\/cpt-editions\/le-regard-libre-n108-dossier-argent\/\"><em>Le Regard Libre<\/em>\u00a0N\u00b0108<\/a>). Debates, analyses, cultural news:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/en\/subscription\/\">subscribe<\/a>\u00a0to support us and get access to all our content!<a href=\"https:\/\/www.payot.ch\/Detail\/la_decision-karine_tuil-9782072943546\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.payot.ch\/Detail\/la_decision-karine_tuil-9782072943546\"><\/a><\/h6>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Catalan elections ended in a historic defeat for the pro-independence bloc. At first glance, the Socialist Prime Minister Pedro S\u00e1nchez, who theorized about reconciling Spaniards, seems to have emerged stronger. The reality is more complex.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":735,"featured_media":524105,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[644357281],"tags":[9472,495851,209662,3867152],"class_list":["post-524094","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-monde","tag-analyses","tag-catalogne","tag-espagne","tag-independantisme"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.4 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>La lecture trompeuse des l\u00e9gislatives en Catalogne<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Les l\u00e9gislatives en Catalogne se sont sold\u00e9es par une d\u00e9faite des ind\u00e9pendantistes. 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