{"id":525965,"date":"2024-12-12T08:19:11","date_gmt":"2024-12-12T07:19:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/?p=525965"},"modified":"2025-12-13T22:50:08","modified_gmt":"2025-12-13T21:50:08","slug":"polls-or-the-art-of-always-being-wrong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/leregardlibre.com\/en\/policy\/world\/polls-or-the-art-of-always-being-wrong\/","title":{"rendered":"Polls, or the art of always being wrong"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class='content_excerpt'>\n<p class=\"has-drop-cap\"><strong>THE AMERICAN DREAM IN THE AFTERMATH OF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION (3\/4). Growing polarization, defeat of the polls and the Democrats... This series of articles aims to present some lessons to be learned from Donald Trump's new election as head of the United States.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n (more...)\n    <div class='restricted_content_fade'><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <style>\n    .content_excerpt{\n      position: relative;\n    }\n    .content_excerpt .restricted_content_fade{\n      position: absolute;\n      bottom: 0;\n      left: 0;\n      right: 0;\n      height: 75px;\n\t  margin-bottom: 0px;\n      background-image: linear-gradient(#ffffff2e, white);\n    }\n\n    .restricted_content{\n      margin-top: 30px;\n      border: solid #dddddd 1px;\n      border-radius: 7px;\n      padding: 30px;\n    }\n    \n    .restricted_content .restricted_content_title{\n      font-size: 22px;\n      font-weight: 600;\n    }\n    .restricted_content .restricted_content_flex_row{\n      display: flex;\n      flex-direction: row;\n    }\n    .restricted_content .restricted_content_image_container{\n      flex: 3;\n    }\n    .restricted_content .restricted_content_flex_column{\n      flex: 4;\n      display: flex;\n      flex-direction: column;\n      margin-left: 40px;\n      justify-content: center;\n    }\n\n\n    .restricted_content_buttons{\n      display: flex;\n      flex-direction: column;\n      width: min-content;\n    }\n    .restricted_content_button{\n      background-color: #f2f2f2;\n      text-transform: uppercase;\n      font-weight: 600;\n      padding: 8px 40px;\n      text-align: center;\n      font-size: 13px;\n      margin-top: 10px;\n      width: max-content;\n      width: 100%;\n      white-space: nowrap;\n    }\n    .restricted_content_button:hover {\n      background-color: #111111;\n      color: white;\n      text-decoration: none !important;\n    }\n\n    .restricted_content_primary_button{\n      background-color: #1F2A68 !important;\n      color: white !important;\n    }\n    .restricted_content_primary_button:hover {\n      background-color: #111111;\n    }\n\n    .restricted_content_text{\n      margin-bottom: 10px;\n      line-height: 1.2;\n      font-weight: 500;\n      font-size: 16px;\n    }\n\n  \n  <\/style>\n  <div class='restricted_content'>\n    <h3 class='restricted_content_title'>This content is reserved for our subscribers.<\/h3>\n    <div class='restricted_content_flex_row'>\n      <div class='restricted_content_image_container'>\n        <img class='restricted_content_image' src='\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/abo_physique.png' \/>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class='restricted_content_flex_column'>\n        <div class='restricted_content_text'>If you have an account, please log in. 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This series of articles aims to present some lessons to be learned from Donald Trump's new election as head of the United States.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p> (more...)<\/p>\n<div class='restricted_content_fade'><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<style>\n    .content_excerpt{\n      position: relative;\n    }\n    .content_excerpt .restricted_content_fade{\n      position: absolute;\n      bottom: 0;\n      left: 0;\n      right: 0;\n      height: 75px;\n\t  margin-bottom: 0px;\n      background-image: linear-gradient(#ffffff2e, white);\n    }<\/p>\n<p>    .restricted_content{\n      margin-top: 30px;\n      border: solid #dddddd 1px;\n      border-radius: 7px;\n      padding: 30px;\n    }<\/p>\n<p>    .restricted_content .restricted_content_title{\n      font-size: 22px;\n      font-weight: 600;\n    }\n    .restricted_content .restricted_content_flex_row{\n      display: flex;\n      flex-direction: row;\n    }\n    .restricted_content .restricted_content_image_container{\n      flex: 3;\n    }\n    .restricted_content .restricted_content_flex_column{\n      flex: 4;\n      display: flex;\n      flex-direction: column;\n      margin-left: 40px;\n      justify-content: center;\n    }<\/p>\n<p>    .restricted_content_buttons{\n      display: flex;\n      flex-direction: column;\n      width: min-content;\n    }\n    .restricted_content_button{\n      background-color: #f2f2f2;\n      text-transform: uppercase;\n      font-weight: 600;\n      padding: 8px 40px;\n      text-align: center;\n      font-size: 13px;\n      margin-top: 10px;\n      width: max-content;\n      width: 100%;\n      white-space: nowrap;\n    }\n    .restricted_content_button:hover {\n      background-color: #111111;\n      color: white;\n      text-decoration: none !important;\n    }<\/p>\n<p>    .restricted_content_primary_button{\n      background-color: #1F2A68 !important;\n      color: white !important;\n    }\n    .restricted_content_primary_button:hover {\n      background-color: #111111;\n    }<\/p>\n<p>    .restricted_content_text{\n      margin-bottom: 10px;\n      line-height: 1.2;\n      font-weight: 500;\n      font-size: 16px;\n    }<\/p>\n<\/style>\n<div class='restricted_content'>\n<h3 class='restricted_content_title'>This content is reserved for our subscribers.<\/h3>\n<div class='restricted_content_flex_row'>\n<div class='restricted_content_image_container'>\n        <img class='restricted_content_image' src='\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/abo_physique.png' \/>\n      <\/div>\n<div class='restricted_content_flex_column'>\n<div class='restricted_content_text'>If you have an account, please log in. 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